Sunday, March 11, 2007

DS Question - 18

Each of the 25 balls in a certain box is either red, blue or white and has a number from 1 to 10 painted on it. If one ball is to be selected at random from the box, what is the probability that the ball selected will either be white or have an even number painted on it?

1) The probability that the ball will both be white and have an even number painted on it is 0.

2) The probability that the ball will be white minus the probability that the ball will have an even number painted on it is 0.2.


Answer: E

The question is asking for P(W) or P(E)
=>P(W) or P(E) = P(W) + P(E) - P(W and E)

From statement (1) --- it is given that P(W and E) = 0 --- insufficient as we do not know individual probabilities.
From statement (2) --- it is given that P(W) - P(E) = 0.2 --- insufficient

Combining both statement (1) and (2) it is still insufficient as P(W) + P(E) cannot be calculated....P(W U E) = P(W) + P(E) - P( W and E)

NOTE : P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B) --- This is true only iff both A & B are Independent. Otherwise, it would be -- P(A and B) = P (A) * P(B/A) = P(B) * P(A/B).
From the question we do not know that if both A and B are independent.